Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 281.555845 318.331594 359.236115 408.311767 465.860280 531.530951 612.605419
2025-06-08 222.543787 269.434684 326.219937 400.840257 497.492051 620.093405 790.048878
2025-06-15 193.248504 244.408282 309.866699 401.252116 527.959311 701.165038 962.563698
2025-06-22 169.102780 221.109914 290.531479 392.168617 541.001004 757.338459 1108.132802
2025-06-29 153.069246 205.935317 279.132567 390.864068 562.660634 826.760520 1284.728431
2025-07-06 135.833928 186.869580 259.597649 374.373369 557.970131 853.551315 1395.950741
2025-07-13 129.858032 183.062273 261.324306 389.508233 603.936191 967.997992 1682.039338
2025-07-20 125.100696 180.398082 264.186805 406.336258 654.575172 1098.539942 2029.336190
2025-07-27 117.751389 172.995110 258.781275 408.668274 680.145540 1187.942800 2317.034974
2025-08-03 108.829970 162.319146 247.054798 398.730018 681.898650 1231.957522 2518.346490
2025-08-10 101.449161 153.476746 237.467519 391.317799 687.058321 1283.112556 2748.741438
2025-08-17 98.286510 151.192239 238.521798 402.936524 730.275768 1420.336027 3226.225665
2025-08-24 92.899840 144.948585 232.513329 401.319262 747.853221 1508.013415 3612.586977
2025-08-31 86.993321 137.412298 223.650459 393.385362 751.404442 1565.270111 3937.499602
2025-09-07 82.934016 132.724033 219.403577 393.857286 772.823107 1668.749314 4435.121145
2025-09-14 77.922240 126.015560 210.937925 384.970378 772.220462 1717.884766 4783.044035
2025-09-21 74.377631 121.659471 206.451087 383.695942 788.734728 1814.400812 5328.063688
2025-09-28 69.219272 114.082377 195.371772 367.573182 768.236983 1808.306119 5510.950201
2025-10-05 68.274573 114.091403 198.694622 382.370414 824.288153 2026.282380 6633.028863
2025-10-12 67.525047 114.393783 202.583436 398.819589 887.277719 2281.374901 8058.227362
2025-10-19 65.241194 111.662874 200.255342 401.098826 914.190309 2434.320077 9136.693304
2025-10-26 61.865719 106.657787 193.004375 391.385029 907.767383 2479.841191 9737.896264
2025-11-02 58.972094 102.422635 187.045755 384.139412 907.166679 2545.152986 10484.602674